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Ipswich vs Man City

Sat 15 May 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 36 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Ipswich win: 15.2%

Draw: 17.9%

Man City win: 66.9%

Predicted: Man City

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 41.3%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 56.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.19

More corners: Man City (22.7% home / 77.3% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Man City

Yes

Probability Man City wins or draws: 81.4%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Man City Clearest lean of the available outcomes (67% vs next-best 18%). (67.0% model probability) High

Both Teams to Score No (59.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (57.0% model probability) High

Corners Man City (more corners) (77.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Man City win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (81.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.